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Deal Evaluation: 10 Failure Modes

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The authors outline 10 common evaluation mistakes observed during the run-up of the NASDAQ. These errors fall into three groups: failure to anticipate market changes; financial evaluation failures; and failure to execute after the investment is made.

By Todd Anderson and David Fishman
Financier Worldwide, April 2005

Onthe fifth anniversary of the NASDAQ bubble bursting, the authors outline 10 common evaluation errors that could be observed during the run-up of the NASDAQ.

  • Failure to anticipate technological change
  • Failure to account for competitive response by incumbents
  • Assuming market valuation remains constant
  • Applying a uniform discount to financial projections
  • Failure to understand key uncertainties
  • Income statement focus
  • Over-reliance on just one valuation approach
  • “Home Run” deals donʼt need to be analysed
  • Disconnect between the deal and management teams
  • Failure to have a clear exit plan 

These mistakes, say the authors, are no less common today than they were at the time.

 

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About the Authors

Todd Anderson is a senior engagement manager with SDG.

David Fishman is a consulting principal with SDG, with 18 years of experience in private equity and financial services. 

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